21/07/2024

LUÍS TAVARES BRAVO

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Evolução real do artificial

A ᴇᴍᴇʀɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ ᴅᴀ ɪɴᴛᴇʟɪɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ ᴀʀᴛɪғɪᴄɪᴀʟ (IA) ɢᴇɴᴇʀᴀᴛɪᴠᴀ ᴛᴇᴍ ᴠɪɴᴅᴏ ᴀ sᴇʀ ᴅɪsᴄᴜᴛɪᴅᴀ ғᴀᴢ ᴊᴀ́ ᴀʟɢᴜɴs ᴀɴᴏs ᴀ ᴇsᴛᴀ ᴘᴀʀᴛᴇ, ᴘᴏʀᴇ́ᴍ ᴛᴇᴍ ᴠɪɴᴅᴏ ᴀ ᴇsᴄᴀʟᴀʀ ᴇᴍ ᴛᴇʀᴍᴏs ᴅᴇ ᴠɪsɪʙɪʟɪᴅᴀᴅᴇ ᴍᴇᴅɪᴀ́ᴛɪᴄᴀ ɴᴏs ᴜ́ʟᴛɪᴍᴏs ᴛʀɪᴍᴇsᴛʀᴇs, ᴇ ᴅᴇɪxᴏᴜ ᴅᴇ sᴇʀ ᴜᴍᴀ ᴛᴇᴍᴀ́ᴛɪᴄᴀ ʀᴇsᴛʀɪᴛᴀ ᴀ ɴɪᴄʜᴏs ᴅᴇ ᴇsᴘᴇᴄɪᴀʟɪsᴛᴀs ᴅᴏ sᴇᴛᴏʀ, ᴘᴀʀᴀ ɢᴀɴʜᴀʀ ᴄᴏɴᴛᴏʀɴᴏs ᴍᴜɪᴛᴏ ʀᴇᴀɪs ᴇ ɪᴍᴇᴅɪᴀᴛᴏs, sᴏʙʀᴇᴛᴜᴅᴏ ᴅᴇᴘᴏɪs ᴅᴀ ᴍᴇᴅɪᴀᴛɪᴢᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ᴅᴏ CʜᴀᴛGPT, ϙᴜᴇ ᴅᴇᴍᴏɴsᴛʀᴏᴜ ϙᴜᴇ ᴀ ᴄʀɪᴀᴛɪᴠɪᴅᴀᴅᴇ ɴᴀ̃ᴏ ᴇ́ ᴀᴘᴇɴᴀs ᴜᴍᴀ ᴄᴀʀᴀᴄᴛᴇʀɪ́sᴛɪᴄᴀ ʜᴜᴍᴀɴᴀ, ᴇ ϙᴜᴇ ᴀ ɪɴᴛᴇʟɪɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ ᴀʀᴛɪғɪᴄɪᴀʟ ɢᴇɴᴇʀᴀᴛɪᴠᴀ, ᴜsᴀɴᴅᴏ ᴍᴇᴄᴀɴɪsᴍᴏs ᴅᴇ ᴀᴘʀᴇɴᴅɪᴢᴀɢᴇᴍ ᴛᴇᴄɴᴏʟᴏ́ɢɪᴄᴀ ᴀᴠᴀɴᴄ̧ᴀᴅᴀ ᴅɪɢɪᴛᴀʟ (ᴇx: ᴍᴀᴄʜɪɴᴇ ʟᴇᴀʀɴɪɴɢ, ᴅᴇᴇᴘ ʟᴇᴀʀɴɪɴɢ) - ᴘᴏᴅᴇ ᴄʀɪᴀʀ, ᴀᴘʀᴇɴᴅᴇʀ, ʀᴇᴀᴘʀᴇɴᴅᴇʀ ᴇ ᴀᴛᴇ́ ɪᴍᴀɢɪɴᴀʀ ɴᴏᴠᴏs ᴄᴏɴᴛᴇᴜ́ᴅᴏs ᴀ ᴘᴀʀᴛɪʀ ᴅᴇ ᴅᴀᴅᴏs ᴅɪsᴘᴏɴɪ́ᴠᴇɪs.

As ᴇᴠɪᴅᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀs ᴄᴏᴍᴇᴄ̧ᴀᴍ ᴀ sᴇʀ ɪɴᴄᴏɴᴛᴏʀɴᴀ́ᴠᴇɪs. Dᴜʀᴀɴᴛᴇ ᴀs ᴀᴘʀᴇsᴇɴᴛᴀᴄ̧ᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ʀᴇsᴜʟᴛᴀᴅᴏs ᴅᴀs ᴇᴍᴘʀᴇsᴀs ᴛᴇᴄɴᴏʟᴏ́ɢɪᴄᴀs, ᴀ ᴇᴍᴘʀᴇsᴀ NVɪᴅɪᴀ, ϙᴜᴇ ᴇ́ ʜᴏᴊᴇ ᴜᴍᴀ ᴅᴀs ᴍᴀɪᴏʀᴇs ᴇᴍᴘʀᴇsᴀs ᴄᴏᴛᴀᴅᴀs ᴇᴍ ʙᴏʟsᴀ ᴅᴏ ᴍᴜɴᴅᴏ ᴇ sᴏʙʀᴇᴛᴜᴅᴏ ᴜᴍ ᴅᴏs ᴘʀɪɴᴄɪᴘᴀɪs ғᴀʙʀɪᴄᴀɴᴛᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴄᴏᴍᴘᴏɴᴇɴᴛᴇs ᴇʟᴇᴛʀᴏ́ɴɪᴄᴏs ᴘᴀʀᴀ ᴀᴘʟɪᴄᴀᴄ̧ᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ Iɴᴛᴇʟɪɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ Aʀᴛɪғɪᴄɪᴀʟ ᴀ ɴɪ́ᴠᴇʟ ɢʟᴏʙᴀʟ ʀᴇɢɪsᴛᴏᴜ ᴜᴍᴀ sᴜʙɪᴅᴀ ᴇᴍ 2,6 ᴠᴇᴢᴇs ᴅᴀs ʀᴇᴄᴇɪᴛᴀs ᴏʙᴛɪᴅᴀs ғᴀᴄᴇ ᴀᴏ 1º ᴛʀɪᴍᴇsᴛʀᴇ ᴅᴇ 2023, ᴀᴏ ᴍᴇsᴍᴏ ᴛᴇᴍᴘᴏ ϙᴜᴇ ᴛɪᴛᴀ̃s ᴅᴏ sᴇᴛᴏʀ, ᴄᴏᴍᴏ ᴀ Mɪᴄʀᴏsᴏғᴛ, Aʟᴘʜᴀʙᴇᴛ, Mᴇᴛᴀ ᴏᴜ Aᴍᴀᴢᴏɴ ᴀɴᴜɴᴄɪᴀʀᴀᴍ ᴀᴜᴍᴇɴᴛᴏs sɪɢɴɪғɪᴄᴀᴛɪᴠᴏs ᴅᴏ ɪɴᴠᴇsᴛɪᴍᴇɴᴛᴏ ᴅᴀs sᴜᴀs ɪɴғʀᴀᴇsᴛʀᴜᴛᴜʀᴀs ᴅᴇ ɪɴᴛᴇʟɪɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ ᴀʀᴛɪғɪᴄɪᴀʟ, ϙᴜᴇ ᴅᴇᴠᴇʀᴀ̃ᴏ ᴄʀᴇsᴄᴇʀ 40% ᴇsᴛᴇ ᴀɴᴏ ғᴀᴄᴇ ᴀ 2023. A ʀᴀ́ᴘɪᴅᴀ ᴀᴄᴇʟᴇʀᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ɴᴀ ᴀᴜᴛᴏᴍᴀᴛɪᴢᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ᴅᴇ ᴛᴀʀᴇғᴀs ᴘᴏᴅᴇ ɢᴇʀᴀʀ ᴘᴏᴜᴘᴀɴᴄ̧ᴀs ɴᴏs ᴄᴜsᴛᴏs ʟᴀʙᴏʀᴀɪs, ᴇ ᴄᴏɴsᴇϙᴜᴇɴᴛᴇᴍᴇɴᴛᴇ ᴀᴜᴍᴇɴᴛᴀʀ ᴀ ᴘʀᴏᴅᴜᴛɪᴠɪᴅᴀᴅᴇ ᴅᴀs ᴇᴍᴘʀᴇsᴀs ϙᴜᴇ ᴘʀᴏᴄᴜʀᴀᴍ sᴇᴍᴘʀᴇ ɴᴏᴠᴀs ғᴏʀᴍᴀs ᴅᴇ ᴀᴜᴍᴇɴᴛᴀʀ ᴏs ʀᴇsᴜʟᴛᴀᴅᴏs, ᴇ ᴀʟɪᴍᴇɴᴛᴀʀ ᴀ ᴀᴍʙɪᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ᴅᴏs ɪɴᴠᴇsᴛɪᴅᴏʀᴇs ᴇ ᴅᴏs ᴍᴇʀᴄᴀᴅᴏs ғɪɴᴀɴᴄᴇɪʀᴏs.

As ᴘᴇʀsᴘᴇᴛɪᴠᴀs ᴘʀᴏᴍᴇᴛᴇᴍ ᴜᴍᴀ ᴅɪsʀᴜᴘᴛɪᴠᴀ ɪɴᴏᴠᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ϙᴜᴇ ᴘᴏᴅᴇ ᴄʀɪᴀʀ ᴜᴍᴀ ɴᴏᴠᴀ ᴇʀᴀ ɴᴀ ɪɴᴅᴜ́sᴛʀɪᴀ. A ᴄᴀᴘᴀᴄɪᴅᴀᴅᴇ ᴅᴀ ᴛᴇᴄɴᴏʟᴏɢɪᴀ ᴅᴇ ɢᴇʀᴀʀ ᴄᴏɴᴛᴇᴜ́ᴅᴏs ϙᴜᴇ sᴇʀᴀ̃ᴏ ᴘʀᴏɢʀᴇssɪᴠᴀᴍᴇɴᴛᴇ ɪɴᴅɪsᴛɪɴɢᴜɪ́ᴠᴇɪs ᴅᴏs ʀᴇsᴜʟᴛᴀᴅᴏs ᴄʀɪᴀᴅᴏs ᴘᴇʟᴏ ʜᴏᴍᴇᴍ, ᴇ ᴅᴇ ϙᴜᴇʙʀᴀʀ ʙᴀʀʀᴇɪʀᴀs ᴅᴇ ᴄᴏᴍᴜɴɪᴄᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ᴇɴᴛʀᴇ ʜᴜᴍᴀɴᴏs ᴇ ᴍᴀ́ϙᴜɪɴᴀs ʀᴇғʟᴇᴛᴇ ᴜᴍ ɢʀᴀɴᴅᴇ ᴀᴠᴀɴᴄ̧ᴏ ᴄᴏᴍ ᴇғᴇɪᴛᴏs ᴍᴀᴄʀᴏᴇᴄᴏɴᴏ́ᴍɪᴄᴏs ᴘᴏᴛᴇɴᴄɪᴀʟᴍᴇɴᴛᴇ ɢʀᴀɴᴅᴇs.

Uᴍ ʀᴇʟᴀᴛᴏ́ʀɪᴏ ᴘʀᴏᴅᴜᴢɪᴅᴏ ᴘᴇʟᴀ ᴄᴏɴsᴜʟᴛᴏʀᴀ PᴡC, Sɪᴢɪɴɢ ᴛʜᴇ ᴘʀɪᴢᴇ, ᴀᴘᴏɴᴛᴀ ϙᴜᴇ ᴇsᴛᴀ ɴᴏᴠᴀ ᴇʀᴀ ᴘᴏᴅᴇ ʀᴇᴘʀᴇsᴇɴᴛᴀʀ ᴜᴍ ᴄᴏɴᴛʀɪʙᴜᴛᴏ ᴅᴇ 15 ʙɪʟɪᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴅᴏ́ʟᴀʀᴇs ᴀᴛᴇ́ 2030 ᴘᴀʀᴀ ᴀ ᴇᴄᴏɴᴏᴍɪᴀ ᴍᴜɴᴅɪᴀʟ, sᴇɴᴅᴏ ϙᴜᴇ ᴅᴇsᴛᴇs 6,6 ʙɪʟɪᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴅᴏ́ʟᴀʀᴇs (44% ᴅᴏ ᴛᴏᴛᴀʟ) sᴇʀᴀ̃ᴏ ᴠɪᴀ ᴀᴜᴍᴇɴᴛᴏ ᴅᴏs ɢᴀɴʜᴏs ᴅᴇ ᴘʀᴏᴅᴜᴛɪᴠɪᴅᴀᴅᴇ. A Cʜɪɴᴀ ᴇ ᴏs Esᴛᴀᴅᴏs Uɴɪᴅᴏs sᴇʀᴀ̃ᴏ ᴀs ʀᴇɢɪᴏ̃ᴇs ᴏɴᴅᴇ ᴍᴀɪs sᴇ ᴠᴀɪ ғᴀᴢᴇʀ sᴇɴᴛɪʀ ᴏ ɪᴍᴘᴀᴄᴛᴏ ᴇᴄᴏɴᴏ́ᴍɪᴄᴏ ᴅᴀ ᴛᴇᴄɴᴏʟᴏɢɪᴀ, ᴄᴏᴍ ϙᴜᴀsᴇ 70% ᴅᴏ ɪᴍᴘᴀᴄᴛᴏ ᴇᴄᴏɴᴏ́ᴍɪᴄᴏ ᴄᴏɴᴊᴜɴᴛᴏ (10,7 ᴍɪʟ ᴍɪʟʜᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴅᴏ́ʟᴀʀᴇs), ᴇɴϙᴜᴀɴᴛᴏ ɴᴀ Eᴜʀᴏᴘᴀ ᴛᴇʀᴀ́ ᴜᴍ ɪᴍᴘᴀᴄᴛᴏ ᴅᴇ 2,5 ʙɪʟɪᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴅᴏ́ʟᴀʀᴇs, ᴄᴏʀʀᴇsᴘᴏɴᴅᴇɴᴛᴇs ᴀ ᴄᴇʀᴄᴀ ᴅᴇ 17% ᴅᴏ ᴛᴏᴛᴀʟ ɢʟᴏʙᴀʟ.

E Pᴏʀᴛᴜɢᴀʟ? O ɴᴏssᴏ ᴘᴀɪ́s ɴᴀ̃ᴏ ᴅᴇᴠᴇʀᴀ́ sᴇʀ ɪᴍᴜɴᴇ ᴀ̀ ᴠᴀɢᴀ ᴅᴇ ɪɴᴏᴠᴀᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ, ᴇ ᴅᴇ ᴀᴄᴏʀᴅᴏ ᴄᴏᴍ ᴀs ᴘʀᴇᴠɪsᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴏ Iɴᴛᴇʀɴᴀᴛɪᴏɴᴀʟ Dᴀᴛᴀ Cᴏʀᴘᴏʀᴀᴛɪᴏɴ (IDC), ᴏ ɪɴᴠᴇsᴛɪᴍᴇɴᴛᴏ ᴇᴍ ɪɴᴛᴇʟɪɢᴇ̂ɴᴄɪᴀ ᴀʀᴛɪғɪᴄɪᴀʟ ᴅᴇᴠᴇʀᴀ́ ᴜʟᴛʀᴀᴘᴀssᴀʀ ᴏs 100 ᴍɪʟʜᴏ̃ᴇs ᴅᴇ ᴇᴜʀᴏs ᴇᴍ 2024 ᴇᴍ Pᴏʀᴛᴜɢᴀʟ, sᴇɴᴅᴏ ϙᴜᴇ ᴇsᴛᴀ ᴛᴇᴄɴᴏʟᴏɢɪᴀ ᴅᴇᴠᴇ ʀᴇɢɪsᴛᴀʀ ᴜᴍ ᴄʀᴇsᴄɪᴍᴇɴᴛᴏ ᴀɴᴜᴀʟ ᴅᴇ 25%, ᴇɴᴛʀᴇ 2023 ᴇ 2027. Pᴀʀᴇᴄᴇ ᴇsᴛᴀʀ ᴘᴏʀ ɪssᴏ ᴇᴍ ᴄᴜʀsᴏ ᴜᴍᴀ ɴᴏᴠᴀ ᴇᴠᴏʟᴜᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ, ᴏᴜ ʀᴇᴠᴏʟᴜᴄ̧ᴀ̃ᴏ ᴅɪɢɪᴛᴀʟ. E sᴇᴍ ᴅᴜ́ᴠɪᴅᴀ ϙᴜᴇ ᴅᴇᴠᴇʀᴀ́ ᴀʟᴛᴇʀᴀʀ ᴀ ғᴏʀᴍᴀ ᴄᴏᴍᴏ ɪɴᴛᴇʀᴀɢɪᴍᴏs ᴇᴍ sᴏᴄɪᴇᴅᴀᴅᴇ.

* Economista, Presidente do Internacional Affairs Network

IN "DINHEIRO VIVO" -13/07/24 .

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